Happy Early Voting Saturday! I voted Friday evening at Miller Branch library. It was after 7pm when I voted and the only candidate I saw was District 5 candidate Alan Schneider, though I did see Jon Weinstein's campaign manager and a host of dedicated volunteers for numberous campaigns. Gotta admire the dedication of the volunteers.
And I must have missed the party, because I understood that my name came up repeatedly at the polls at the Miller Branch on Friday! How exciting! I'm sure, only in the best way.
Friday also brought the last campaign finance report filing deadline before the General Election on November 4, capturing contributions made through October 19. Of course, candidates can and will still raise money until the election, and even post-election. So these reports will not capture any shifts in the final weeks. But let's look at what the candidates and campaigns in Howard's most competitive races have posted, shall we? As well as another several interesting bits of tid.
In the County Executive's race, Allan Kittleman raised a little over $126K and had a little under $205K in the bank. Whoa. That's a lot of moolah to spend between October 19 and November 4. About $12K per day, in fact. Of course, that assumes he wants to get rid of it all, but why would he not?
Of interest is that over $38K was spent on services rendered and doubtless, to be rendered by Sean Murphy and SPM Strategies. In fact, Sean did well for himself in Howard County, also being the recipient of $4K from the Republican Central Committee, for a take of $42K over the two months between August 20 and October 19.
On the other side of the aisle, Courtney Watson's campaign reported a little over $262K in receipts over that same two month period, and $259K in the bank. Which equates to a bit over $15K per day to spend between now and November 4. So Howard County, the message is to you: prepare to be inundated by just about everything.
Looking now at County Council District 1: Jon Weinstein reported a bit over $36K in income over the reporting period and $32K in the bank. Kevin Forrest Schmidt, for the same period, reported a little under $4200 in receipts and a little under $9000 in the bank. The discrepancy is striking.
As it is in the campaign for State Delegate in District 9B. Tom Coale reported about $44,500 in receipts and a bit over $17K in the bank for the final weeks, and in contrast, Bob Flanagan raised a little under $6700 in income and has a little under $7200 in the bank.
What's interesting about both Council 1 and District 9B are that in both cases, the Democratic candidate is far outpacing their Republican opponents in terms of contributions from individuals-- both in number of contributors and amounts of contributions. This is indicative of a broad base of community support. And a broad base of community support would indicate votes in hand. Votes that don't show up in polls and in ads and in mailers.
Yet, for some reason, these races are still considered competitive? How is this supposed? I guess, based on voter registration numbers and the reputation of the district and of the candidates involved? And I guess here's where it all hinges on turnout, True Believers. Because if your voters sit on their hands on election day, all the money in the bank won't help you.
Let's look at once more race. I know all you readers want me to give a detailed breakdown of the Judge of the Orphan's Court race, or perhaps go on a stream of consciousness riff about the comedic genius of the late Charles Nelson Reilly. But instead I will discuss the State Senate race in District 9. And in that race, The incumbent Delegate from District 9 who is seeking the State Senate seat there has raised over $17K and has almost $50K on hand, while Ryan Frederic has raised just about $14K and has a bit over $74K in the bank. Hmmm. That race, I predict, is going to be unusually fun in the final weeks.
I've said it before and will say it again, folks-- if you live in Dsitrict 9 you need to support Ryan Frederic. At the very least, give him a long look and ask yourself, does this guy represent your and your family's values better, or does the other person? This guy is, to partially lift another candidate's tagline, what the future of politics in Howard County, and Maryland, ought to be.
October 25 is Constitution Day in Lithuania!
Let's be careful out there.